SIGNALLIVE
BDI 1,847 • Transpacific FEU $3,200 • WCI $2,140 • Crude $81.2 • Hormuz transits 4/day — carriers on Cape routing • Transpacific +13-14% — Peak Season Surcharges active • USTR Section 301 — 16 ASEAN countries under investigation • El Niño active — PAGASA forecasts 9-17 cyclones through Oct 2026 • Asia-Europe FAK +14% — CMA CGM tariff wall effective June 1BDI 1,847 • Transpacific FEU $3,200 • WCI $2,140 • Crude $81.2 • Hormuz transits 4/day — carriers on Cape routing • Transpacific +13-14% — Peak Season Surcharges active • USTR Section 301 — 16 ASEAN countries under investigation • El Niño active — PAGASA forecasts 9-17 cyclones through Oct 2026 • Asia-Europe FAK +14% — CMA CGM tariff wall effective June 1

PLATFORM TRANSPARENCY

Methodology

How ChainPulse Intelligence calculates the Global Pulse Score, Risk Monitor regional scores, and War Room signal rankings — and how editorial review shapes every output.

Editorial Review — Harold Ramos, supply chain practitioner with 18+ years of experience

Every score, signal, and advisory output on this platform is reviewed by Harold Ramos before publication. Harold has 18+ years of international supply chain leadership experience. ChainPulse Intelligence uses AI to research and draft; Harold makes the final editorial judgement on what gets published and at what severity level. No output is auto-published without his approval.

01

Global Pulse Score

Composite supply chain risk score · 0–100 · Updated weekly every Monday

The Global Pulse Score is a weighted composite of seven category-level scores, each reflecting a distinct dimension of global supply chain risk. The score ranges from 0 (no risk signals) to 100 (maximum disruption across all categories). Scores are researched, drafted, and reviewed weekly. Harold Ramos makes the final editorial judgement before any score is published.

The 7 Categories

CategoryCurrent Score
Ocean Freight88
Air Freight60
Geopolitics85
Fuel & Energy82
Port Congestion72
Manufacturing58
Weather Risk73
02

Risk Monitor — Regional Scores

9 regions · 0–100 score per region · Updated weekly

Each of the 9 regions tracked by ChainPulse receives a risk score from 0–100, reflecting the current severity of supply chain disruption signals in that geography. Regions are classified as Critical, High, Medium, or Stable based on the severity and breadth of active disruption signals. Scores are reviewed and finalised by Harold Ramos each week before publication.

The 9 Tracked Regions

🌎 North America

Multi-carrier FAK increases hit June 1 as Section 301 China review deadline approaches

64
Medium
🌍 Europe

CMA CGM Asia-Europe FAK jumped 14% effective June 1 — Suez return attempt abandoned

68
High
🌏 ASEAN

USTR Section 301 overcapacity — Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Cambodia, Malaysia all named

68
High
🌏 Middle East

Hormuz ceasefire stalled — week 3 at 4 transits/day, no carrier routing change

85
Critical
🌏 Asia-Pacific

Semiconductor + helium crisis building — Taiwan and South Korea fabs rationing critical inputs

79
High
🌏 South Asia

Monsoon season building — Bangladesh port congestion and India logistics pressure

62
Medium
🌎 Latin America

Panama Canal draft restrictions and Brazil trucking cost pressure continuing

62
Medium
🌍 Africa

Suez return attempt abandoned — Cape routing confirmed for remainder of H1 and into Q3

72
High
🌐 Global

Multi-carrier rate surge + USTR 16-country probe + Hormuz stall — simultaneous cost and trade risks

79
High

Risk Level Definitions

Risk LevelMeaning
CriticalActive, confirmed disruption requiring immediate supply chain attention. Reserve stock review and routing decisions warranted.
HighElevated risk with credible disruption signals. Monitoring and contingency planning recommended.
MediumBackground risk — conditions are stressed but no confirmed major disruption. Watch list status.
StableNo significant disruption signals detected. Normal supply chain conditions for this region.
03

War Room — Signal Selection & Severity

6 signals per issue · Selected from 18 categories

Each week, the intelligence agent researches all 18 supply chain categories and identifies the most operationally significant stories. Signals are selected based on their operational relevance to supply chain professionals, with priority given to stories with confirmed, quantifiable impact. At least one freight/shipping story and one geopolitical story are always included. The 6th signal is always a rotation from outside the default five categories, maintaining breadth of coverage across the issue.

Signal Categories

⚔️ Geopolitical📋 Tariff🚢 Freight🤖 AI & Tech🌿 Climate🏭 Manufacturing

Severity Classification

SeverityDescription
CriticalMajor active disruption with confirmed operational impact. Always leads the issue.
HighSignificant developing story with clear cost or lead time exposure.
MediumNotable signal worth tracking — not yet causing confirmed disruption.
StableBackground signal. Included when it represents the highest-relevance story available for the rotation slot.

Impact Field Rules

COST

Factual data only — real rates, real numbers, real timeframes. No estimates or ranges unless sourced.

LEAD TIME

Factual data only — confirmed transit changes, carrier advisories, or port wait times.

INVENTORY

Advisory language only. Must begin with "Consider assessing…" Never use commanding language.

PROCUREMENT

Advisory language only. Must begin with "May be worth…" Never use "must", "should", or "urgent action required".

04

Data Sources

ChainPulse Intelligence draws on publicly available data across the following source categories: freight indices, carrier advisories, trade policy regulators, port authorities, weather services, and trade media. Every published signal includes a direct article URL — no signal is published without a traceable source.

Freight Indices

Ocean, air, and dry bulk freight rate indices tracking global shipping market conditions.

Carrier Advisories

Service advisories and routing updates from major ocean and air carriers.

Trade Policy

USTR · US Court of International Trade · EU Taxation & Customs · WTO

Port & Logistics

Port authority releases and logistics intelligence providers.

Weather & Climate

PAGASA · NOAA · WMO · international weather and climate risk services.

Market Intelligence

Freight market analytics platforms, procurement data providers, and PMI survey data.

Trade Media

Lloyd's List · Splash247 · Supply Chain Dive · FreightWaves · JOC

Regulatory

EU Commission, customs authorities, and trade compliance advisory services.

05

Limitations & Disclaimer

Scores and signals reflect supply chain risk conditions as of the publication date. They are updated weekly and may not reflect intra-week developments. Rapidly evolving situations (active port closures, breaking geopolitical events) may be materially different from the most recent published score.

The Global Pulse Score and regional risk scores are composite indicators designed to provide directional context for supply chain planning. They are not precise forecasts and should not be used as the sole basis for procurement, logistics, or financial decisions.

All INVENTORY and PROCUREMENT fields in signal cards represent informational considerations only — not operational advice. ChainPulse Intelligence and Harold Ramos accept no liability for decisions made based on any score, signal, or advisory output on this platform.

For more detail, see the Editorial Policy and Terms & Conditions.